More Thoughts on the Death of Sean Taylor
* Clinton Portis gave a tremendous interview Tuesday on The John Thompson Show on Washington's Sportstalk 980
where he talked about the death of one of his closest friends. Portis talks about his last conversation with SeanTay, what Taylor did on the last day of his life and what went through his own mind when he heard knocking on his hotel room door at 5:00 a.m. Tuesday morning. He also tells some great stories about his good friend. If you want a better sense of what was lost when Sean Taylor passed away, listen to the whole thing.
Living in D.C., you'd think that this wide-ranging, 20 minute interview would have been a big topic of conversation, as most people have been waiting for player reactions on this tragedy (particularly from SeanTay's closest friends like Portis and Santana Moss). Yet, for some reason, nobody seems to have heard about this. I didn't until my buddy Ben called me and told me to find it online. If you're a 'Skins fan, it's a must-listen. Even if you're not, I recommend it.
* Miami police publicly stated their belief that Taylor was the victim of a random burglary. From the Associated Press:Miami-Dade police director Robert Parker said Wednesday there were no indications the slain 24-year-old was targeted or knew his assailant."
This seems to be a remarkably naive statement on its face. How can the police jump to such an unlikely conclusion publicly? I see only three possible reasons. Please remember, I'm not saying this is what is happening, I'm merely speculating about why police would be so quick to call this act random:
There's nothing that indicates thus far that there's some kind of involvement on the victim's part," said Parker, adding it was "more like a random event."
Police have no suspects in the fatal shooting.
"We have no reason to think this was anything other than a burglary or a robbery involving an intruder," Parker said.
1) It's a self-fulfilling prophecy and the police are setting themselves up for failure. They might think that this case will be difficult to crack, so by setting the bar low in public, they wont look like hacks when they can't find the murderer.
Nobody likes to mention this, but prominent cases of (likely) black-on-black crime often go unsolved. I'm thinking of the murders of 2Pac, The Notorious B.I.G., Jam Master Jay and Darrent Williams, in particular. Somebody knows who killed those people. They weren't committed by a single person in secret like most public unsolved murders. Yet, police never arrested anybody for those crimes. Why? That's a topic for somebody who knows a lot more about the subject than I do. However, I expected this crime to go unsolved the minute I heard about it. After 58 hours, I'm even more sure.
(I realize it seems I'm making the rather large assumption that Sean Taylor's murderer is blacks, but I'm not. In the United States, 94% of all black murder victims were killed by people of their own race. The white/white number is 86%, by the way.)
2) Digging deeper into this situation might mean uncovering some information about Sean Taylor that could tarnish his memory. This theory is propelled by the fact that SeanTay's father, Pedro, is the chief of police of Florida City and probably holds some sway in the murder investigation.
3) Police are lulling the murderers into a false sense of security.
I'm not saying any of these three things are true, but they're the only possible reasons I can think of that the Miami police would make such a bold, logic-defying statement about the randomness of Sean Taylor's house getting broken into twice in eight days. When you factor in the knife that was left on SeanTay's bed during the first break-in (where, by the way, nothing was taken), the odds of both these incidents being random reach dizzying heights.
* I've written this twice already, but it's worth repeating: Jason La Canfora's Redskins Insider blog at WashingtonPost.com has been the absolute best resource available for news, reaction and insight into this tragedy. I've kept a tab with Insider open in my Firefox browser since Monday morning and have probably refreshed it a couple hundred times. Even with my incessant reloading, I was still amazed how often La Canfora updated the site with new information. La Canfora and The Post deserve a great deal of credit for their coverage over the past three days.
* Maybe I shouldn't be, but I'm a little surprised that the Redskins game this Sunday against Buffalo is still on the board in Vegas. I'm even more surprised that the line hasn't changed since Sunday (Washington is favored by 5.5). Doesn't the emotion of the day make this game unbettable? I don't know. (By the way, I think the 'Skins will be keyed-up on Sunday and will play hard in SeanTay's honor. By next Thursday's game against Chicago, I think they'll be emotionally and physically beatdown.)
* The Onion, as always, deftly maneuvers the fine-line between tragedy and comedy with their article: Report: NFL Had Previously Warned Sean Taylor About Spending Quiet Evenings Alone at Home.
Thursday, November 29, 2007
Tuesday, November 27, 2007
SeanTay is Gone
When I woke up to my text message beeps at 6:10 this morning, I knew that Sean Taylor had passed away. I didn't even need to read the terse message from my cousin George, which simply read "he died". T
hough I knew the simple hand-squeeze which energized everyone's spirits last night was hardly a telltale sign of recovery, I still went to bed thinking SeanTay would be somehow make it through this. Even now that's he gone, I think I still believe it.
This is the sort of thing that usually happens to other teams, yet twice in the past four months my two favorite sports teams have experienced a tragic, sudden death. Wake Forest basketball caoch Skip Prosser died after suffering a heart attack in late July. Today, Sean Taylor was murdered.
It's weird to write that - Murder. But that's what happened; even if the press is calling it a shooting or a robbery or whatever other word defines what happened by law. Make no mistake though, somebody went into Sean Taylor's home and fired two bullets that would end his life. That's murder.
Why should the death of someone I hardly know be so upsetting? Hell, we as Redskins fans barely even "knew" SeanTay. He spoke to the media very rarely, was most often seen with his helmet on and had a voice that wouldn't be instantly recognizable even to the most ardent team supporters. Yet everywhere I went today I saw people walking around in a sort of daze.
While both Prosser and Taylor's deaths are devasating, SeanTay's has hit me harder for a few reasons:
1) He was in the prime of his athletic career and was a beast of a man. That he was out for two games with a knee injury was, frankly, amazing. We all thought SeanTay was indestructible. From all accounts, he shouldn't have even survived as long as he did. But he held on.
2) The lapse between the news of the shooting and the word of his passing was tough. You'd think knowing that SeanTay was in imminent danger would make his death easier to take. For some reason, it seemed to make it harder.
3) It's probably most difficult of all for fans because we're in the midst of football season, when guys like SeanTay are at the forefront of our minds. This is the theory of a friend of mine, and I agree with him. For the past two weeks, all of my Redskins conversations have included the inevitable "man, they miss SeanTay so much" line. My boys and I must have said it two dozen times during the game on Sunday. That he could go from the most important player on our favorite team to a morgue in a span of 24 hours is absolutely chilling.
Taylor's death is a tragic end to what was a promising life as a son, father, future husband and athlete. Sean Taylor wasn't perfect, but in the past two years he had clearly matured both on and off the football field. He will be greatly missed in both places.
Monday, November 26, 2007
SeanTay
The two best sites for updates on the condition on Sean Taylor: MiamiHerald.com and Jason La Canfora's blog at WashingtonPost.com. At the moment, Taylor is reportedly in a coma (whether it's medically induced or not is unclear) after multiple hours of surgery following a gunshot wound to the leg.
Update: According to ProFootballTalk.com, reports that statements were released saying that Taylor would "likely live" have been removed from a Miami Herald article. Taylor's lawyer now says that doctors are worried Taylor might have suffered brain damage due to a tremendous loss of blood. This news is turning more tragic by the hour.
Update x2: Jason La Canfora reports Sean Taylor is currently "clinging to life".
Update x3: The Miami Herald reports that SeanTay's mother said he squeezed a nurses hand, the first signs of responsiveness since the shooting. Finally, a little bit of good news out of Miami, although I fear this could be lulling everyone into a falso sense of security. Because along with that good news comes confirmed reports that SeanTay flatlined twice during the seven-hours of surgery. I would think the latter is, sadly, a more telling sign than the former.
Update x4: The Washington Post was the first, and remains the only, major newspaper to really understand the power of blogs. I know that sounds like a cheesy intro to a segment on the 11:00 news, but bear with me. On washingtonpost.com, blogs by major reporters have been fine-tuned, promoted and nurtured and, as a result, the newspaper's website has the best blog content of any MSM-outlet on the Internet. Dan Steinberg's excellent DC Sports Bog has become the best blog on a major newspaper site by leaps and bounds. And The Post's "Insider" team blogs (for local D.C. teams) also provide a wealth of information, as do the various political and entertainment blogs on the site.
I mention this, because Jason La Canfora's Redskins Insider has been the single-best resource for news on the condition of Sean Taylor today. The instant updates La Canfora has provided demonstrates the usefulness and power of blogs.
Thursday, November 22, 2007
NFL Picks: Week 12

Green Bay at Detroit
What I'm Thankful For: Live Free or Die Hard on DVD
Santa sends his Christmas list to John McClane.
Pick: Detroit
New York Jets at Dallas
What I'm Thankful For: Wake Forest basketball's 2008 recruiting class
Skip Prosser's final recruiting class should have the Deacs back in the upper-echelon of the ACC by next season. Not bad for a football school.
Pick: Dallas
Indianapolis at Atlanta
What I'm Thankful For: That my parents no longer get the NFL Network
Comcast recently put the NFL Network on the 'digital sports' tier, which means that the channel has disappeared without fanfare from most homes in the D.C. area, including at my mom and dad's house where I'll be eating Thanksgiving dinner. It's not often I say this but, "thanks, Comcast".
Pick: Indianapolis
Oakland at Kansas City
What I'm Thankful For: Fried pickles
Fried pickle, sir, I love you more than words can wield the matter;
Pick: Oakland
New Orleans at Carolina
What I'm Thankful For: That when the Redskins dominated the NFL in '83 and '91, they did so with class and dignity
Just like the Patriots.
Pick: New Orleans
Houston at Cleveland

What I'm Thankful For: My DVR-backlog of Iron Chef reruns
For some inexplicable reason, Food Network stopped its weekly Tuesday 2:00 a.m. airings of the original Japanese Iron Chef episodes. Thankfully, my DVR still has eight old episodes saved, meaning my time with Hiroyuki Sakai, Chen Kenichi, Rokusaburo Michiba and Dr. Yukori Hattori isn't over yet, despite the better efforts of those Commie-leaning censor-happy suits at TFN.
Pick: Houston
Washington at Tampa Bay
What I'm Thankful For: That 75% of teams in the NFC are worse than mediocre
Assuming the Giants are the top-seeded Wild Card team (a big if considering the team's collapse last year), the Redskins will be fighting it out for the final playoff spot with two teams they have a tiebreaker over (Detroit and Arizona) and one whose quarterback is as beat-down as Sarah Jessica Parker's face (although that didn't seem to hurt Philly last year). It's scary to say, but the Redskins could likely control their own destiny when they welcome the Cowboys to D.C. in week 17 (when Dallas will probably have nothing to play for). I need help.
Pick: Washington
Buffalo at Jacksonville
What I'm Thankful For: Cheerwine
A southern staple, Cheerwine is a soft drink that's part cherry, part bubbly and completely friggin' delicious. Ostensibly, I went down to Charlotte this September to visit some college friends and take in the Wake/Nebraska game, but really I just made the trip so I could bring some Cheerwine back to the Union.
Pick: Jacksonville
Cincinnati at Tennessee
What I'm Thankful For: Haribo gummy candy
Not coincidentally, my dentist is also thankful for my thankfulness of Haribo gummy candy.
Pick: Cincinnati
Seattle at St. Louis
What I'm Thankful For: The last 62-seconds of the season finale of Curb Your Enthusiasm
Minnesota at New York Giants
What I'm Thankful For: Marion Barry
He's like a fun, crack-loving, non-murdering version of O.J.
Pick: New York Giants
Denver at Chicago
What I'm Thankful For: The new Nationals stadium
Thomas Boswell thinks it's going to be a gem. I can't wait to find out on Opening Day 2008, as long as the stadium doesn't get a lame name like Constellation Energy Field which, I have heard, is a good possibility.

Pick: Chicago
San Francisco at Arizona
What I'm Thankful For: Project Runway is back
I'd call Project Runway my guilty pleasure, except that I don't feel the slightest bit of guilt at all.
Pick: Arizona
Baltimore at San Diego
What I'm Thankful For: A juiced-up loudmouth (Shawne Merriman) getting blowed up by a 5'6 running back (Maurice Jones-Drew).
Philadelphia at New England
What I'm Thankful For: The possibility of Tom Brady getting the cheap-shot in the knees he deserves
Without that, there'd be no other reason to watch Patriots' games.
Pick: New England
Monday, November 19, 2007
2007-2008 ACC and NCAA Basketball Preview
Besides Christmas and Wedding Season, college basketball's five-month slate of games is my favorite time of the year. On any night throughout the winter, there is a compelling college basketball g
ame somewhere on some channel or radio station. It might not involve your #1 team, or favorite conference, or a national power, or even - hell - a team you've actually heard of, but it's always great theater. In some gym in America, two teams comprised of college basketball players are giving their all to get a win for their university.
And therein lies the beauty of college basketball: Every game means something. It might not have ramifications on the national title race or NCAA seedings, but to the players and fans, every game matters. When an NBA team hits a buzzer beater in a meaningless February game, the players celebrate for a bit and then walk to the locker room. When a college player hits a buzzer beater in a "meaningless" February game, his teammates mob him, as does half of the student body. The school will be abuzz the next morning, as everyone, sports fans and non, will know what had happened the night before. On the other hand, the atmosphere at the school on the wrong end of the buzzer beater will be more subdued than usual. That game might not mean something to the rest of the country, but it means plenty to those two schools.
Yeah, the first Duke/UNC game this year won't determine who wins the ACC or who gets seeded where in the NCAA Tournament, but it will still be a huge game with a ton of ramifications for everyone involved. The game counts. Even in a year that doesn't provide much on-court success, fans can turn back to that one game and become happy. Wake Forest didn't beat St. Joe's in the 2004 NCAA Tournament, but Wake fans can always relive the Deacs' epic double-overtime victory over North Carolina earlier that year in Chapel Hill. College basketball games are stand-alone events, and it's easy to get caught up in the fun of those events even if you're not an alma mater of that school. This is why I'll watch a game between Creighton and Southern Illinois this year. I have no connection to either (other than when I mock The Wolfman for putting SIU in his Elite Eight one year), but I know that they play quality ball and will likely put forth an entertaining effort for 40 minutes.
As great as those types of game are, I'd rather watch the ACC, of course. Even though the league brass has attempted to destroy the fun of the conference through expansion, the ACC is still the pearl of college basketball. This coming season will likely be a down year for the conference, but that won't change the fact that the Atlantic Coast Conference is still the gold standard by which all other conferences are measured. Yes, even with Virginia Tech.
So, sit back and enjoy the upcoming season. I'll be right here complaining about Wake Forest's defense, ripping on ACC officiating and writing daily odes to my favorite of all sports broadcasters, Dick Vitale. And it will be a whole lotta fun.
ACC Predictions
1) North Carolina
If you want an idea of how bad it could get in the ACC this season, consider that Ty Lawson was voted as a first team preseason All-ACC selection. Lawson had a fine freshman season running the point for Carolina, and I'm sure he will improve greatly this year. But he didn't even make honorable mention All-ACC in 2007 and was only the fourth-highest vote getter on the freshman team.
Graduation and early departures have left the ACC pretty threadbare in terms of proven producers. Ten of the highest 17 scorers in the league won't be back this year.
UNC has the best player, best team and (of late) the best coach. I'm thinking it could be Carolina by a mile this season in the ACC, with a bunch of mediocre teams fighting it out for a .500 record (sort of like in 2000, when Duke went 15-1, Maryland finished 11-5 and the rest of the teams finished with between four and nine conference wins. Of course, expansion dilutes the schedule a bit, so it's easier to finish with a .500 record. Have I ever mentioned how much I absolutely loathe expansion?)
Don't be fooled by the Heels' struggle against Davidson. The Cats are good enough to get an at-large bid this year, and were good enough last year to give Maryland a serious scare in the first-round of the NCAA Tournament. (My memory is hazy of that game, as I was tuning in sporadically while at work, but I seem to remember that Davidson was up most of the game and would have won had they not gone ice cold in the second half. There might have been some dubious officiating mixed in there too.)
2) Clemson
I'm good at two things, and guessing the annual ACC Basketball Sleeper is the other. This year, hesitantly, I'm throwing my sizable weight (149 lbs, dripping wet) behind the Tigers. It's easy to forget that Oliver Purnell's squad began last year at 17-0. This was partially because those wins came against a weak non-conference schedule, but mainly due to the fact that Clemson finished the year just on a 3-10 drought before catching some steam in the NIT.
It'd be simple to say that Clemson's start was a mirage and they just weren't that good, but I'm not so sure. Clearly the Tigers weren't 17-0 good, but I don't think they were 3-10 bad either. After their win-streak ended at Maryland, Clemson laid a whuppin' on a good Boston College squad to advance to 18-1 on the season heading into Durham.
That was the infamous "clock game" when Clemson made a furious last-second comeback, only to get screwed by the officials when they gave Duke extra time for a last possession. The Dukies took advantage, winning on a layup by David McClure as time expired.
Clemson lost a heartbreaker, but showed they were the real deal with their battle against Duke. But then the wheels fell off. After going up by 16 points before the under-eight timeout at home against UVA, Clemson completely fell apart, getting outscored 19-2 in the final 8:37. The game had been so over, so much so that I turned it off and didn't even flip back to see what was going on until I got a text about the game. UVA had seemingly given up, Clemson's fans were going nuts and then, quick as can be, everything changed. After that loss, there was no doubt Clemson would slip into a tailspin. They never recovered.
This year, Clemson is only one of two ACC schools to return over 80% of their scoring and rebounding (N.C. State is the other) The non-conference slate is a little more difficult this year (Purdue, DePaul, Alabama), but don't be surprised to see Clemson with another gaudy record when they welcome North Carolina into Death Valley in a nationally televised game on January 6. (Of course, I've definitely just jinxed Clemson into a 3-13 ACC record after advertising my good run of ACC sleeper picks.)
3) Virginia
Quick: Who won the ACC's regular season title last year? Unless you went to Virginia and/or are related to Dave Leitao, you probably don't remember the UVA tied for the top spot with UNC. (I sure didn't, even though the Hoos were my sleeper pick in the preseason.) It won't be easy for Leitao & Co. to repeat their success after the departures of J.R. Reynolds and Jason Cain (one of those glue-guys who teams always seem to miss more than expected), but in a down-year for the conference, UVA should start planning for a repeat trip back to the Big Dance.
Sean Singletary is my favorite player to watch in the conference. I would have picked him for ACC Player of the Year, but the Carolina-love is so unabashed in ACC country that the only way Tyler Hansbrough won't win is if it's revealed that he is actually Michael Vick.
4) N.C. State
I ranked the teams before the season began and, unlike Bill Simmons and Election Day exit pollsters, won't alter my predictions based on the early returns. I mention this because Wolfpack freshman J.J. Hickson went 12-12 from the floor in his college debut, dropping 31 against William and Mary. I don't care if he was playing Joseph and Mary; that's pretty damn good.
Anyway, State is everyone's "sleeper" this year. They were picked third by the writers (narrowly behind Duke) and were ranked nationally in the preseason by the Associated Press. (They might have been ranked in the coach's poll too, but I pay about as much attention to the coach's poll as I do to the NHL.) Everyone is expecting big things because: 1) The team adds a Top 20 recruiting class to the team that lost the fewest points and rebounds in the ACC and 2) Sidney Lowe is no longer a rookie coach.
In every NCSU preview, the 'Pack's impressive ACC Tournament run (when they went to the Finals as a #10 seed) is mentioned by the fourth paragraph. While it's undeniable that State was hot in March, it's probably more important to remember that the reason they had to go through Duke (#7 seed), UVA (#2) and Virginia Tech (#) is because the Wolfpack were, again, a ten seed. They earned that spot due to a thoroughly unimpressive 5-11 ACC campaign. Their non-conference wins were equally weak. In short, N.C. State seems to be like a college basketball version of Tim Thomas; turning a hot postseason into unrealistic expectations for the future.
But, if Hickson is the real deal, State could easily fulfill everyone's expectation. I've always liked Gavin Grant as a player as well. He is due for a big season. (Looking at his 2006/07 stats, I don't know what surprised me more: That Grant had 137 assists (tops in the ACC for a non-PG) or that he turned the ball over 151 times.)
5) Duke
The loss of Josh McRoberts hurts. Not because of his production, but because he was the only Dukie that any opposing coach even bothered to pay close attention to defensively. Without McRoberts drawing attention, defenses can play the perimeter more and force Greg Paulus into his customary turnovers.
6) Maryland
Winning the National Championship was the best thing that ever happened to Maryland. It was also the worst. Since winning the 2002 title, Gary Williams seems to have lost his passion for the game. That same fire that helped Gary become one of the best coaches in the nation has been extinguished. After years of playing the "nobody believes in us/we're the underdog" card to his teams, Gary can't pull that anymore.
Since arriving at Maryland, Gary and his staff thrived on finding those types of players to recruit (Juan Dixon being the poster child). After the title, recruiting dropped off terribly, perhaps because the Terps expected the best players to come to them, instead of them going to find the best players for their system. This was undoubtedly due, in part, to the departures of Williams' long-time assistants Dave Dickerson and Jimmy Patsos, who were the main recruiters for the program. But I don't know if Gary has "it" anymore. It wouldn't surprise me at all if he retired in the next two or three years. Five years ago, I would have said he was a lifer, no doubt.
This year, I have a hard time seeing Maryland being anything but a mediocre team that flirts with the bubble all conference season. Greivis Vasquez has a nice game, but I think he's starting to believe his own hype too much (aided by Kobe Bryant's praise after facing Vasquez in an Olympic qualifying game). He also has a low basketball IQ, something that is noticeable every time I watch the Terps play. A few nights ago, in Maryland's narrow win over Northeastern, Vasquez (a prolific, and poor, three-point shooter) took a terrible shot from beyond the arc with the game tied, 32 seconds on the shot clock and James Gist mistmatched underneath the hoop. Of course, it went in, which will give Vasquez an excuse to take a similar shot next time down the court. (I call this Trent Strickland Syndrome.) Later, with under 15 seconds left in the game, Vazquez moronically fouled a Northeastern player on a potentially game-tying three point attempt. Luckily for the Terps, the players missed one of the FTs. Maryland made two foul shots after that, and Northeastern had a chance to tie with a three, but Gary instructed his players to foul, continuing a trend I've seen this season of teams fouling when up three late in the game.
I (and many, many other people) have been yelling about this for years; wondering why coaches were letting opposing teams get off a game-tying shot when they could put them on the line for a much-more-improbably "made free throw/missed-on-purpose free throw/tip-in" combo. Unfortunately, this seems to be one of those "be careful what you wish for" situations, because it makes the endings of games a lot less fun. Oh well.
Anyway, it's never good to put stock in early-season results, but struggling at home against Northeastern doesn't bode well for Gary Williams. On the bright side, maybe he can start telling his team that nobody believes in them again.
7) Boston College
Jared Dudley was the worst ACC Player of the Year in the past 30 years. The honor had belonged to Chris Carrawell (who wasn't even the best player on Duke the year he won), but Dudley wins out based on the disappearing act he'd put together in big games. That has nothing to do with BC's upcoming season, as they'll miss Dudley and Sean Marshall tons, I was just saying. Anyway, Tyrus Rice is good enough to keep BC in the middle of the ACC pack.
8) Wake Forest
Wake has been picked 11th or 12th in the ACC by nearly every publication (I've yet to see one where they are ranked higher) for a number of reasons:
a) Their most productive player in 2007, Kyle Visser, graduated.
b) The rest of the roster is young and, relatively, unproven.
c) This year's recruiting class was solid, if unspectacular.
d) Skip Prosser's death forced Dino Gaudio into the head coaching
position.
These are all very legitimate points and seem to suggest that Wake will likely be one of the two worst teams in the ACC for the third consecutive season (man, that's depressing to write). HOWEVA, if I may, I'd like to put on my beret and fake mustache and pretend that I'm Jamie from Mythbusters.
a) Losing Visser might not hurt as much as expected. Yeah, he led the Deacs in scoring and rebounding, but it's not like he was a dominating presence in the middle. Too often, Visser would disappear for long stretches of time, even as Wake's young backcourt would try too hard to run the offense through him. (It was the exact opposite of what the Deacs would do when Eric Williams was there. The problem was, Williams was good enough to run the offense through. Visser was not.) Without Visser serving as a crutch, Ish Smith will be able to spread the ball around the floor a little more and, with a little luck, will find a favorite target in Jamie Skeen, L.D. Williams or James Johnson.
b) See above. (I'm going to miss Anthony Gurley though. The would-be sophomore transferred to UMass, where he will not become the next Dr. J or Marcus Camby.)
c) Wake's new freshman didn't get much ink when they signed, but Gary Clark, Jeff Teague and James Johnson were all Top 150 players according to Rivals.com. I'm not sure how Gaudio will use Clark - he played the point in high school - but it couldn't hurt to have two ball-handlers on the floor in him and Smith.
d) Don't underestimate the power of inspiration. Prosser's tragic death will have a profound effect on this year's Wake Forest basketball team.
9) Georgia Tech
The Yellow Jackets will struggle this season after the departures of Javaris Crittenton and Thaddeus Young following their freshman seasons. Neither was a surprise, but they're crippling to Paul Hewitt nonetheless.
Lost in all the hype over how the NBA's age-minimum pushes the best high school seniors into college basketball as opposed to sitting at the end of NBA benches is that the rule might actually make it harderfor college coaches to recruit and plan for the future. Only two or three players in a given year are definite "one and done" guys. OJ Mayo, Michael Beasley and Derrick Rose seem to be those guys this season, just as Oden and Durant were last season. They're the obvious ones. It's easy to plan for their departures, because it's all but certain that they will.
It's the fringe guys like Crittenton and Young that make it difficult for college coaches. Sure, it's no secret that these types of players would like to leave for the riches of the NBA after their freshman year, but many get to college and either aren't that great or realize they need more seasoning (or a thinner draft) before making themselves eligible. Keith Bogans, Brandon Rush, Ronnie Brewer and even Tyler Hansbrough are recent examples of players who were assumed to be one/done that stayed for longer than they probably initially hoped.
But what happens when the players perform well, don't damage their stock too much, listen to some possibly-dubious advice and enter the draft? The coach and team get screwed, that's what. When Paul Hewitt was doing his recruiting for this year's class in the summer of '06, how could he possibly lure any blue-chip point guard or small forward to Atlanta while Young and Crittenton were about to enter the program? It's not like Hewitt can say, "hey, don't worry about them, they'll be gone by the time you'll get there."
For starters, Hewitt might not even be in a living room to make that sell because he doesn't know how many available scholarships he's going to have. While he was certainly aware of the potential of his two star recruits going pro, he can't assume it and offer scholarships that aren't there. Secondly, when Hewitt was pitching to this year's class, Crittenton and Young hadn't even set foot on the court yet. (Remember, the recruiting for freshman in the 2008 class took place this summer, so Hewitt's current class was recruited back in mid-'06.) In short, Hewitt knew he had two stars on the way, but had no idea whether they'd be as good as advertised. As a result, he was completely hamstrung by the very guys who were helping him make the NCAA Tournament.
So what is the real benefit of getting one/done candidates to come to your school? For Tim Floyd at USC, is O.J. Mayo really worth the trouble? On one hand, big-time recruits can help make a school a destination (think Beasley at K-State). But if it comes at the cost of hamstringing future recruiting (like with Crittenton and Young), I'm not so sure it helps, especially for established programs. (The exceptions are the Durants and Odens of the world, but those
guy are very few and very far between.)
Back to Mayo for a second: How can anybody possibly have faith in him? He's so narcissistic that he makes the characters on It's Always Sunny in Philadelphia look like the nuns at the Missionaries of Charity. It's always a pretty big red flag when a player chooses a college based on his own marketability rather than a desire to grow as a basketball player. Off the top of my head, I can think of three guys who were one/done, went to a seemingly random school and had reputed attitude problems: Two were lottery picks and are now out of the NBA (Rodney White and DaJuan Wagner) and the other is dead (Eddie Griffin).
There are others, I'm sure (Felipe Lopez comes to mind, but I don't remember him having any attitude problems, just a not-being-very-good problem), and in some of these cases you can make the argument that a player going to a non-established program might be noble if said player wants to resurrect that program. But even if you buy that, isn't such a move still ultimately a selfish one? I want to be the one who brings USC back to national stature. I want to be the savior of the program. Frankly, I don't think there's anything wrong with wanting that. If Felipe Lopez, a native New Yorker, can get on the cover of Sports Illustrated before even playing a game and then bring St. John's back to power, that's a no-brainer. It just seems like these types of guys usually believe that their basketball education is complete by the time they set foot on campus and that the college game is merely a stepping-stone on the way to NBA stardom. They'd be better-served to look at the careers of all the successful players to make the high school-to-NBA jump and realize that, with very few exceptions, almost all took two years to get acclimated to the game.
Mayo is going to be a cancer at USC. He's only there for himself, will be happy to put up 30 in a losing effort and will only care about where his name is on people's draft boards, not what USC does in March or in the future. Mayo got a bunch of press for putting up 32 in his college debut. What's most important though is that he did so only after heaving up 27 shots (!). Oh, and his team lost. I have yet to see O.J. Mayo play a live game, but I feel comfortable predicting that he'll be a DaJuan Wagner-type bust in the NBA.
By the way, for a well-respected academic university and clean sports program, Georgia Tech sure does see a little of one/done guys. Stephon Marbury, Chris Bosh, Dion Glover and the two last year have all done it in the past 11 years. That seems like a lot; even Memphis can't boast that many boltures. (I know it's not a word, but I like it.)
10) Florida State
FSU is the winner of the "ACC team that I can't name a single player on" award. In retrospect, I should have remembered Isaiah Swann, but I'm afraid of anyone that has three consecutive vowels in their first name.
11) Miami
Jack McClinton is all set to become the guy on the All-ACC team that nobody has seen play.
12) Virginia Tech
I've been buying the ACC Basketball Handbook since 1992, when I used to sneak it in my mom's shopping cart at Giant. I don't read it cover to cover, I usually leave it out on the coffee table and get to most of the articles and previews over the first couple of weeks of the season. Even with the quickness of the internet, the Handbook is still a go-to guide for schedules, stats and records. (I also love the headline: Two Timer Tyler Hansbrough.)
Anyway (sorry, got off on a little tangent there), on the seventh of the eight pages devoted to each team, that school's is listed and is accompanied by headshots of each player. Almost every team has at least one or two players not pictured (usually walk-ons), which means that there is an average of 11 to 14 players pictured for each team. UNC, Wake Forest, Virginia, Georgia Tech and Duke all have more than 12 players pictured. Virginia Tech has eight. And that's why I'm picking them to finish last in the ACC.
Player of the Year
Tyler Hansbrough - North Carolina
Freshman of the Year
J.J. Hickson - North Carolina State
Coach of the Year
Dino Gaudio - Wake Forest
First Team All-ACC
G - Sean Singletary - Virginia
G - Tyrese Rice - Boston College
F - Tyler Hansbrough - North Carolina
F - Brandon Costner - North Carolina State
F - Gavin Grant - North Carolina State
National Picks
Teams I Like: Georgetown, Kansas, Marquette, George Mason
Teams I Don't Like: Memphis, Texas A&M, Duke, Indiana, USC
If Georgetown can figure out a way to keep Roy Hibbert on the court and in the thick of the action, the Hoyas could copy Maryland's recent run of a Final Four appearance followed by a National Championship the next season. Kansas, as always, has the players to contend for a title. After last year's run to the Elite Eight, Bill Self could find his Jayhawks in the Final Four despite their offseason losses. (This also has to be the year that the committee tries to get KU and UNC on the same side of the draw. It's inevitable at some point.)
I'm a little wishy-washy on Memphis. They looked very solid against UConn the other night. Derrick Rose appears to be the real deal. But I don't know if Memphis will have the experience necessary to make a deep-run in March.
Now, I don't buy the whole "postseason experience" card, especially in college sports. It might important off the court - ie, dealing with the media throng during Final Four week - but by the first TV timeout, most teams have rid themselves of the jitters and can focus on basketball. By the 12th minute of game action, I doubt players are any more nervous in a Final Four game than they would be in any other big game. Look at it this way, if Georgetown makes the Final Four this year and is in a close game with Memphis, what will matter more in the final two minutes: That Georgetown lost to Ohio State in a similar game 12 months before, or that the Hoyas were tested all winter in the Big East while Memphis beat-up on the likes of Southern Miss? (That example might not have been the best, as I just noticed that Memphis and Georgetown actually play one another in December, but I've written far too much already to think of another analogy.)
The ACC has had a representative in the Final Four in 21 of the past 27 years. In five of those 21 seasons, the ACC has had two teams playing in college basketball's last weekend. This is due, in large part, to the dominance of North Carolina and Duke (who account for 19 of the conference's 26 Final Four appearances since 1981). But don't let that diminish the role the other teams in the conference played in getting UNC and Duke (and the other four ACC teams that have recently made it to the Final Four - Maryland (x2), Georgia Tech (x2), Virginia (x2), N.C. State) that far.
Each great ACC team was battle-tested through what used to be the toughest league home/home series in the country. (Expansion - cruel, cruel expansion - has killed that.) Final Four berths won in March were earned in February, in gyms up and down the east coast.
Memphis rolled into the NCAA Tournament last season with an unblemished conference record; they barely broke a sweat in their Conference USA schedule. It's not their fault, they have to play the teams in their conference. John Calipari knows this, which is why he schedules one of the toughest non-conference slates in the country for his team. But playing early-season matchups has little effect on what happens in the NCAA Tournament.
Memphis will have the talent to cut down the nets, but will they be prepared when they get their inevitable dogfight in the Sweet 16 or Elite Eight. Will they know how to respond to an early deficit or how to be patient in the second half to wait for the right shot. Can they hold a lead against a team that can actually come back on them? And what of their much-maligned free throw shooting? Can the Tigers step up and knock them down when the game is on the line? Maybe they will bring all these things together in the Tournament, but I wouldn't count on it.
Final Four: Georgetown, North Carolina, Kansas, Michigan State
It seems that I write this every year, but it always bothers me when analysts make their Final Four picks and invariably choose some four-team combination culled from the preseason top-10 list. (We'll ignore, for the moment, that each of last year's Final Four teams were ranked in the top 8 of the AP preseason poll. That's the outlier, not the norm. Last year in college basketball, normalcy reigned. It was the exact opposite of what's going on in college football this season.)
That being said, I'm going to do the exact same thing I hate this year. (Maybe this self-loathing comes from that Redskins/Cowboys game. Ugh. I said at the beginning that the worst thing that could happen would be the 'Skins going up 7-0 and giving us hope. It happened, and all my boys and I were fooled into thinking we had a chance even though the Cowboys did exactly what we expected: Exploiting the absence of Sean Taylor. Haters will be calling for Joe Gibbs' head this week, but they're idiots. He took a banged-up Redskins team down to Big D and played 60 minutes against the best team in the NFC. It's not his fault Chris Cooley dropped that one ball or that Gregg Williams' defense can't defend on a third-and-19 or that Pierson Prieleou (he doesn't deserve the respect of me spelling his name correctly) couldn't cover Jerry Jones. Shit. Where was I.)
Anyway, after picking Michigan to make the F4 last season I figured it was time for a change..
(For what it's worth, in the preseason I did call Georgetown's run to... wherever the Final Four was played last year. I really don't want to look it up now that I've got myself all agitated.)
National Champion: Kansas
Maybe they'll duplicate Florida's feat of winning the national championship in football and basketball in the same calendar year. I'm pretty sure this is the fourth consecutive year I've picked KU to cut down the nets. My Godfather clearly taught me well.
(Update: Make that three out of four years. Looks like I picked Villanova in '05.)
Friday, November 16, 2007
College Basketball Preview: Coming Soon
The word count for my NCAA Basketball preview is escalating (I'd guess it's at about 3,000 words at this point), as is the amount of time it's taking me to finish. I'll have it up sometime this weekend and, I promise, it will help you kill a good 15 or 20 minutes at work on Monday. In the meantime, enjoy this picture of Bruce Bowen's sister, Julie.
Wednesday, November 14, 2007
Inconceivable!
While I work on Chris' Sports Blog 2007-2008 NCAA College Basketball Preview Extravaganza, enjoy this picture of Wallace Shawn. Hope to have things posted at some point on Friday.
Tuesday, November 13, 2007
Christmas in Winston
College basketball's national signing day is tomorrow, and Wake Forest is set to sign the #1 class in
Rivals.com's rankings. Despite the sudden death of Skip Prosser, his star recruits Al-Farouq Aminu, Tony Woods and Ty Walker are expected to sign tomorrow with new coach Dino Gaudio. Since the departure of Chris Paul, there hasn't been too much good news emanating from the hardwood down in Winston-Salem. Wednesday could be a new step in the right direction.
Early Signing Period Rankings: Wake Forest #1 - Rivals.com
Top Class Has Fond Memories of Prosser - Rivals.com
It's tough not to get excited about a #1 ranked recruiting class, but I try to curb my enthusiasm by reminding myself that these rankings are almost always a bunch of bullshit. Looking back at Rivals' 2003 rankings (last year's college seniors) helped that cause. Florida State was ranked #1 due, in part, to Alexander Johnson and Von Wafer. They were adequate college players, but far from the stars they were projected to be. Oklahoma, Syracuse, Arkansas and Kansas were also in the top ten, based on the reputations of players that never panned out. (KU's top two recruits were David Padgett and J.R. Giddens, both of whom transferred out of Lawrence early in their careers.)
And then there was Maryland. Ranked #3 in the 2003 Rivals list, the Terps boasted a deep lineup of would-be stars that included Ekene Ibekwe, Hassan Fofana, Will Bowers and D.J. Strawberry. All but Strawberry would be major disappointments (although Ibekwe did play strong in his senior season.) Those players were supposed to compliment the stud of Gary Williams' 2003 class, Mike Jones, who was viewed as some as a poor man's LeBron. Since Bill Simmons stole my "homeless man's _____" joke a few years back, I won't use that one, but suffice it to say, Jones was more Jerome James than LeBron James.
Sunday, November 11, 2007
Kyle Boller: He's Not So Good
My buddy Russ and I were sitting on the couch, wallowing in the misery of another Redskins give-away loss, when we flipped to the Bengals/Ravens game and wondered why Brian Billick was still sticking with the ancient Steve McNair. With the 83-year old McNair under center, the Ravens offense runs about as well as an Edsel. A defective Edsel. Could Kyle Boller really be that much of a downgrade from McNair? Can you downgrade something that's already so downgraded that it ceases to even have a grade? I don't know, but either way, the Ravens offense is so bad, it's almost a better play for them to punt immediately and hope their defense can score.
Well, almost immediately after discussing this baffling subject, CBS cut to a shot of our hero, backup Kyle Boller, warming-up on the bench. And our question was answered.
Damn.
Giant Tools
It's one thing for teams in new (and/or struggling) markets to resort to gimmickry in order to excite a fanbase. But for the New York Giants, a team that has been around for over 80 years, to sink to such a level is shameful. No more shameful than having Eli Manning as your quarterback, I suppose.
* Speaking of tools; Donovan McNabb and the Eagles head down I-95 to face the Redskins today. Fearing any karmic payback, I'll keep this brief: Donovan's comments from earlier this (or last?) week about how the Eagles' struggles aren't all his fault prove, beyond a doubt, that McNabb's alleged role as a team leader has been nothing more than the product of media hyperbole."I'm definitely not the whole reason why we lost these games. Can I help? Yes, I can. But I'm not fully to blame for everything that goes on around here... We all have to play well. We all have to do our jobs individually. If we all step up and do our job, then we wouldn't be sitting here right now [at 3-5]. But I'm definitely not the single reason for what's going on right now."
Oh really, Donovan? I'm not saying the Eagles struggles are all your fault, but, as a quarterback, isn't it your responsibility to take responsibility for a team's failures? (I'm just lying, of course. It's all your fault. When you went down last year, Jeff Garcia came in and proved that a good quarterback could win with that team.)
You sure as hell take responsibility when the team wins. After all, I didn't see you sharing credit with "all" when your team advanced deep into the playoffs (and then choked) in four straight seasons. When the media was incorrectly dubbing you one of the NFL's best quarterbacks, you weren't praising the team's punter for helping you reach that perch. And I'm sure you didn't give your teammates a cut from your hefty Campbell's Soup endorsement checks. Shouldn't you have, though? Because your success was their success. Right? Or is it only when there is blame to go around? You can't have it both ways, Donovan.
Week 10 Picks
Atlanta over Carolina; Minnesota over Green Bay; Denver over Kansas City; Miami over Buffalo; New Orleans over St. Louis, Pittsburgh over Cleveland; Jacksonville over Tennessee; Washington over Philadelphia; Baltimore over Cincinnati; Arizona over Detroit (they are so terrible); New York Giants over Dallas; Chicago over Oakland; Indianapolis over San Diego; Seattle over San Francisco
Friday, November 09, 2007
Choo-Choo: The Video
There's been talk that Choo-Choo is one of Clinton Portis' less-inspired characters. While that's debatable, I count myself as a fan because of Choo-Choo's singular mission: To teach the Redskins how to have fun. Granted, Choo-Choo can't measure up to Sheriff Gonna-Getcha, Bro Sweets or the angel of Southeast Jerome (my personal favorite), but it's important to remember that CP's initial dress-up began with the (largely forgettable) Mad Scientist.
(Video courtesy Mr. Irrelevant)
Cameron Lazies
The Associated Press plays Mythbuster to the claim that Duke has the best college basketball fans in
the country. From a November 8th article:Student attendance has been slipping over the past five years, and when the men's team finished 22-11 last year, more than half the home games were played before empty seats in the student sections.
The article goes on to say that Duke fans, spoiled by years of Elite Eight runs and ACC Titles, will now be able to reserve tickets online for the less-important games which have been sparsely attended in the past few years. It doesn't say how this online system will make people want to go to the Florida State game any more than in years past, but that's neither here nor there.
"It was minimal at first, and then last year, it was a dramatic decrease," Bazzani said. "Last year, you could walk in 15 minutes after tipoff and still get great seats."
Thursday, November 08, 2007
Our Long National Nightmare MIGHT Be Over
Esteemed Sports Illustrated football scribe, Dr. Z, writes that he will vote for Art Monk in this year's Hall of Fame balloting, after years of publicly disparaging Monk's candidacy. Maybe this sets Monk fans up for even more disappointment come February, but I have to think that with Dr. Z on board, Monk might finally get his long-overdue bust in Canton.
Choo Choo's Back in Town
Southeast Jerome might still be missing, but Clinton Portis was up to his old antics again today, dressing up as Choo Choo, a dancer who was at Redskins Park to teach the team how to have fun. Highlights of Choo Choo's meeting with the media include a bemused Joe Gibbs walking by CP in disbelief and a reporter mentioning that Choo Choo's sunglasses still had their tag on them, to which Choo responded, "that's to let you know that they were expensive and that Choo Choo got money too."
The linked video is available on Redskins.com; registration necessary. It's worth it.
Photo courtesy DC Sports Bog; pre-video info courtesy my cousin George. He's the one holding the WTOP microphone.
Tuesday, November 06, 2007
I Want My E-S-P-N?
My biggest internet pet-peeve is when I check a frequently-updated site, only to find that it hasn't been updated since the last time I checked. Luckily for myself, I knew that I hadn't updated this site in a while, so I didn't have to go through the cycle of angst every day. At least four of you out there probably did and, for that, I am sorry.
Last week was a pretty busy one, and then I had a minor health scare that required some time in the hospital this weekend. Doctors were able to confirm that the last-second loss for Wake Forest and win for the Redskins had only little to do with said scare.
Anyway, once I get on my feet again, I'll be up and posting on a regular schedule. I didn't realize that college basketball had started until today, so look for my annual preview in the coming days.
Also, everyone I know likes to give ESPN a hard time. I do it. My friends do it. My two favorite sports blogs do it. It's very easy to do because ESPN has become a shell of its former self and is more interested in self-promotion and schtick than they are in covering sports as news. That being said, the hospital I was in didn't carry ESPN on its television package. Spanish-language movie stations? Check. Medical infomercial station? They got it. A channel dedicated to some doofus schilling DirecTV? On a repeated 15-minute loop all day. But ESPN was nowhere to be found. All I will say is this: You don't know what you got 'til it's gone.
